Spline-backfitted kernel smoothing of nonlinear additive autoregression model

Abstract

Application of nonparametric and semiparametric regression techniques to high-dimensional time series data has been hampered due to the lack of effective tools to address the ``curse of dimensionality.'' Under rather weak conditions, we propose spline-backfitted kernel estimators of the component functions for the nonlinear additive time series data that are both computationally expedient so they are usable for analyzing very high-dimensional time series, and theoretically reliable so inference can be made on the component functions with confidence. Simulation experiments have provided strong evidence that corroborates the asymptotic theory.

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053607000000488 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)