On invariant measures and the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic delayed SIRS epidemic model

Abstract

In this paper, we consider a stochastic epidemic model with time delay and general incidence rate. We first prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution. By using the Krylov-Bogoliubov method, we obtain the existence of invariant measures. Furthermore , we study a special case where the incidence rate is bilinear with distributed time delay. When the basic reproduction number R0 < 1, the analysis of the asymptotic behavior around the disease-free equilibrium E0 is provided while when R0 > 1, we prove that the invariant measure is unique and ergodic. The numerical simulations also validate our analytical results.

This article is a total of 20 pages and contains 5 figures