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paper

A simple analytical approach to describe disease spread on a network

arXiv:1005.4047

Abstract

We investigate the time evolution of disease spread on a network by using the concept of generations. We derive a set of equations, which can be used to determine the average epidemic size. We find a very good agreement between the analytical and simulation results. The details of approximations and the possibility of generalization or improvement are discussed.

14 pages, 5 figures