A Bayesian Analysis of the Constrained NMSSM

Abstract

We perform a first global exploration of the Constrained Next-to-Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model using Bayesian statistics. We derive several global features of the model and find that, in some contrast to initial expectations, they closely resemble the Constrained MSSM. This remains true even away from the decoupling limit which is nevertheless strongly preferred. We present ensuing implications for several key observables, including collider signatures and predictions for direct detection of dark matter.